AN INDEPENDENT PROJECT FROM MERKEBWORKING EDITION ● OCTOBER 2026

THE OPEN WORKBENCH

Models &
Forecasts.

Follow a race. Test an economic assumption.
Inspect the sources behind the numbers.

2026 races: map, candidate records and dated market signals.

House, Senate and governor races in one place.

21 source-checked lists · October 24, 2026

Loading dated election market signals…
U.S. HOUSE

Start where you live.

39 races with market quotes
See the races ↓
Green = available market contracts; select a raceState cartogram · click to explore

A forecast earns its place here. 506 contests are inventoried; 39 have dated market-contract quotes. These are market signals. A calibrated independent election forecast remains unfinished. Every quote links to its source and model status.

Explore the methods

THE RACE LEDGER

The whole field.

Loading source records…

ElectionMarket signalRecord

Coverage definitions and source dates will appear with the roster.

THE FIRST READERS

Be here for the next chapter.

Join the book’s interest list, get a founding-reader badge and invite a friend.

No payment. Phone verification is pending during this beta.

THE 1024 GUIDE

Follow your curiosity.

Choose a question. Get a concise answer and the source behind it.

Loading the library…
3 daily shuffles

Curated answers. No live chat. Three shuffles per day in this browser.

THE OWNERSHIP REVOLUTION · FIRST READERS

The future has a first page.

Opening your reader profile…